A reality based independent journal of observation & analysis, serving the Flathead Valley & Montana since 2006. © James Conner.

1 March 2016

Hillary Clinton as a proxy for Barack Obama’s third term

That’s how she’s managing to frame the race. It helped her in South Carolina, where she captured almost nine of 10 black votes, and it ought to help her in several former Confederate states today. Unfortunately, few of those states are likely to opt for the Democrat in November.

super_tuesday_states

Blue means the state was won by a Democrat; red, by a Republican. Gold indicates a third party win; George Wallace in 1968, Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond in 1948. In 1960, several members of the electoral college went rogue, voting for Harry Byrd (D-VA).

The graphic above was derived from data from Dave Lieb’s excellent U.S. Election Atlas. The blacks percent of VEP numbers are from Pew. Texas has a sizeable Hispanic/Latino population, but that’s an ethnic category. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 2010 just over half of the Hispanic/Latino cohort self-identified as white.

When the spreadsheet on which the graphic if finished, I’ll release it.